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Porz vs Frechen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Porz

PPG 0.93 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Frechen

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.5%0-22.3%0-32.4%0-4+3.9%1 1-01.1%1-13.4%1-25.2%1-35.3%1-4+8.8%2 2-01.2%2-13.8%2-25.8%2-36.0%2-4+9.9%3 3-00.9%3-12.8%3-24.4%3-34.5%3-4+7.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.7%4+-24.1%4+-34.2%4+-4+7.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 51.3% — — —

Over 2.5 80.0% — — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 65.6% — — —

Away O1.5 81.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob65.9%

A 51% / xG 2.2-3.1 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 6.0%

#2 2–2 5.8%

#3 1–3 5.3%

#4 1–2 5.2%

#5 2–4 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porz2.2

Frechen3.1

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PORZ · PPG 0.93

FRECHEN · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Porz (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frechen (A) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Porz face Frechen in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porz a 29% chance, the draw 20% and Frechen 51%, so Frechen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Porz and 3.1 for Frechen (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porz are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.57 for Frechen. This match finished 1-4.

Porz vs Frechen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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