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SSV Merten vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

SSV Merten

PPG 2.36 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Siegburger

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.9%0-24.1%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.4%1-19.1%1-27.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.1%3-15.2%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.7%4+-23.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.6%

H 48% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SSV Merten1.9

Siegburger1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SSV MERTEN · PPG 2.36

SIEGBURGER · PPG 2.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.36), Away EXCELLENT (2.57)

Win probability 1X2

SSV Merten (H) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Siegburger (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SSV Merten face Siegburger in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SSV Merten a 48% chance, the draw 22% and Siegburger 30%, so SSV Merten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for SSV Merten and 1.7 for Siegburger (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SSV Merten are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 2.57 for Siegburger. This match finished 5-1.

SSV Merten vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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