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Wegberg-Beeck vs Bergisch G. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Wegberg-Beeck

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bergisch G.

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.2%0-25.1%0-33.3%0-4+2.6%1 1-04.4%1-18.7%1-28.5%1-35.6%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.1%2-34.6%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.1%3-14.0%3-24.0%3-32.6%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.4%4+-22.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 42.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.7% — — —

Away O1.5 58.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wegberg-Beeck1.7

Bergisch G.2.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WEGBERG-BEECK · PPG 1.86

BERGISCH G. · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away EXCELLENT (2.14)

Win probability 1X2

Wegberg-Beeck (H) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bergisch G. (A) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wegberg-Beeck face Bergisch G. in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wegberg-Beeck a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Bergisch G. 42%, so Bergisch G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wegberg-Beeck and 2.0 for Bergisch G. (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wegberg-Beeck are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 2.14 for Bergisch G.. This match finished 0-0.

Wegberg-Beeck vs Bergisch G. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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