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Frechen vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:30

Frechen

PPG 1.57 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Teutonia Weiden

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.7%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.3%1-12.7%1-21.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.6%2-15.4%2-23.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.1%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-017.7%4+-120.5%4+-211.9%4+-34.6%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.6% — — —

Draw 18.5% — — —

Away win 8.9% — — —

Over 2.5 80.2% — — —

Over 3.5 57.6% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 81%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)4.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.5%

H 73% / xG 4.0-1.2 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 4–1 7.1%

#3 3–0 6.1%

#4 4–0 6.1%

#5 5–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frechen4.0

Teutonia Weiden1.2

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.2% · O3.5 PROB 57.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FRECHEN · PPG 1.57

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.57), Away POOR (0.62) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Frechen (H) 72.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia Weiden (A) 8.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frechen face Teutonia Weiden in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frechen a 73% chance, the draw 19% and Teutonia Weiden 9%, so Frechen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.0 for Frechen and 1.2 for Teutonia Weiden (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frechen are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.62 for Teutonia Weiden. This match finished 7-1.

Frechen vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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