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Hennef vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

Hennef

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bornheim

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.6%0-24.1%0-33.0%0-4+2.9%1 1-03.1%1-16.8%1-27.7%1-35.7%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.8%3-14.0%3-24.5%3-33.4%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.9%4+-23.2%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 73.6% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 65.7% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 68.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob65.7%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.2 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 1–2 7.7%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3✓ 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hennef1.9

Bornheim2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HENNEF · PPG 1.64

BORNHEIM · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Hennef (H) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bornheim (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hennef face Bornheim in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hennef a 37% chance, the draw 21% and Bornheim 42%, so Bornheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hennef and 2.2 for Bornheim (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hennef are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.43 for Bornheim. This match finished 1-3.

Hennef vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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