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Bergisch G. vs Porz Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

Bergisch G.

PPG 2.36 · HOME

10 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Porz

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.3%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.1%1-11.5%1-20.9%1-30.4%1-4+0.2%2 2-02.7%2-13.5%2-22.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-15.5%3-23.5%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-019.1%4+-124.8%4+-216.0%4+-36.9%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.2% — — —

Draw 17.1% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 80.2% — — —

Over 3.5 69.7% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 10-0

xG (home)4.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.6%

H 74% / xG 4.8-1.3 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.5%

#2 5–1 6.2%

#3 3–1 5.5%

#4 4–0 5.0%

#5 5–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bergisch G.4.8

Porz1.3

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.2% · O3.5 PROB 69.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BERGISCH G. · PPG 2.36

PORZ · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.36), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bergisch G. (H) 74.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Porz (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bergisch G. face Porz in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bergisch G. a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Porz 9%, so Bergisch G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.8 for Bergisch G. and 1.3 for Porz (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bergisch G. are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 0.86 for Porz. This match finished 10-0.

Bergisch G. vs Porz Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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