Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Bornheim vs VfL Vichttal

Bornheim vs VfL Vichttal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

Bornheim logo
Bornheim
PPG 1.64 · HOME
3 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
VfL Vichttal logo
VfL Vichttal
PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.7%0-23.4%0-32.8%0-4+3.1%1 1-02.2%1-15.5%1-26.8%1-35.7%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-27.0%2-35.8%2-4+6.5%3 3-01.5%3-13.8%3-24.7%3-33.9%3-4+4.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-13.1%4+-23.8%4+-33.2%4+-4+3.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.8%
Draw 21.2%
Away win 43.1%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 65.9%
Home O1.5 60.3%
Away O1.5 71.0%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 76%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-5
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob65.9%

A 43% / xG 2.0-2.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.0%
#2 1–2 6.8%
#3 1–1 5.5%
#4 2–3 5.8%
#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bornheim2.0
VfL Vichttal2.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BORNHEIM · PPG 1.64

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Bornheim (H) 35.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
VfL Vichttal (A) 43.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bornheim face VfL Vichttal in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bornheim a 36% chance, the draw 21% and VfL Vichttal 43%, so VfL Vichttal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bornheim and 2.5 for VfL Vichttal (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bornheim are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.57 for VfL Vichttal. This match finished 3-5.

PredictVantage

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