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Duren vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

Duren

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.5%0-24.6%0-33.1%0-4+2.6%1 1-03.9%1-18.0%1-28.2%1-35.6%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.2%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.0%3-14.2%3-24.3%3-32.9%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.7%4+-22.8%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 41.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.6%

A 42% / xG 1.8-2.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Duren1.8

Fortuna Koln B2.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DUREN · PPG 1.71

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Duren (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortuna Koln B (A) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Duren face Fortuna Koln B in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Duren a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Fortuna Koln B 42%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Duren and 2.0 for Fortuna Koln B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Duren are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.57 for Fortuna Koln B. This match finished 2-5.

Duren vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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