Today / Uerdingen vs Juchen-G.

Uerdingen vs Juchen-G. Prediction

Sunday, June 7, 2026

Uerdingen
PPG 2.06 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Juchen-G.
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-17.7%0-23.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.0%1-112.0%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.4%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.9%3-14.9%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.8%
Draw 24.3%
Away win 26.9%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Over 3.5 32.2%
BTTS 55.4%
Home O1.5 51.7%
Away O1.5 30.4%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%
#2 1–0 12.0%
#3 0–0 7.6%
#4 2–1 9.4%
#5 2–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uerdingen1.6
Juchen-G.1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UERDINGEN · PPG 2.06

JUCHEN-G. · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Win probability 1X2

Uerdingen (H) 48.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Juchen-G. (A) 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uerdingen face Juchen-G. on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uerdingen a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Juchen-G. 27%, so Uerdingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Uerdingen and 1.0 for Juchen-G. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uerdingen are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.88 for Juchen-G.. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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