Today / Biemenhorst vs Sonsbeck

Biemenhorst vs Sonsbeck Prediction

Sunday, June 7, 2026

Biemenhorst
PPG 0.63 · HOME
3 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Sonsbeck
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.7%0-24.4%0-33.6%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.7%1-16.5%1-27.9%1-36.3%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-27.0%2-35.6%2-4+5.9%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.1%3-33.3%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.3%4+-22.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+2.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 26.8%
Draw 20.0%
Away win 53.2%
Over 2.5 73.6%
Over 3.5 49.5%
BTTS 63.6%
Home O1.5 55.0%
Away O1.5 68.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-4
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.6%

A 53% / xG 1.8-2.4 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%
#2 1–1 6.5%
#3 2–2 7.0%
#4 1–3 6.3%
#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Biemenhorst1.8
Sonsbeck2.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 49.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BIEMENHORST · PPG 0.63

SONSBECK · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Biemenhorst (H) 26.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sonsbeck (A) 53.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Biemenhorst face Sonsbeck on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Biemenhorst a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Sonsbeck 53%, so Sonsbeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Biemenhorst and 2.4 for Sonsbeck (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Biemenhorst are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 1.25 for Sonsbeck. This match finished 3-4.

PredictVantage

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