Karlshamn vs Lilla Torg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Södra Götaland - 11 Sunday, June 7, 2026 13:00

Karlshamn PPG 0.00

VS PENDING

Lilla Torg PPG 1.00

Away· +20.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlshamn face Lilla Torg in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlshamn a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Lilla Torg 40%, so Lilla Torg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Karlshamn and 1.2 for Lilla Torg (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlshamn are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Lilla Torg. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.1%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -32.6%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.9%

Away 40.3%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +20.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.65 -19.7%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 2.60 -16.2%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.53 -20.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 0-1

4th 1-0

5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Karlshamn

1.10

Lilla Torg

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 72%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -32.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data