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Torns vs Växjö Norra Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Torns

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLL

UPCOMING

Växjö Norra

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.9%0-24.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.8%1-19.8%1-28.3%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.2%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.7%3-14.6%3-23.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.8%4+-22.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% 29.4% 3.40 +29.2%

Draw 23.0% 27.8% 3.60 -10.3%

Away win 38.9% 56.5% 1.77 -31.1%

Over 2.5 65.9% 68.5% 1.46 -3.8%

Over 3.5 44.9% 46.5% 2.15 -3.5%

BTTS 63.5% 69.4% 1.44 -8.6%

Home O1.5 49.7% 42.6% 2.35 +16.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 61.7% 1.62 -22.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

A 39% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torns1.7

Växjö Norra1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TORNS · PPG 1.00

VÄXJÖ NORRA · PPG 1.20

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torns (H) 38.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +29.2%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -10.3%

Växjö Norra (A) 38.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -31.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torns face Växjö Norra in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torns a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Växjö Norra 39%, so Växjö Norra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Torns and 1.7 for Växjö Norra (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torns are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Växjö Norra. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +37.3%.

Torns vs Växjö Norra Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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