Oskarshamns vs Osterlen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Södra Götaland - 11 Arena Oskarshamn· Oskarshamn Sunday, June 7, 2026 12:00

Oskarshamns PPG 2.40

VS PENDING

Osterlen PPG 1.00

Home + Over 2.5· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Oskarshamns face Osterlen in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oskarshamns a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Osterlen 21%, so Oskarshamns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Oskarshamns and 1.0 for Osterlen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oskarshamns are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Osterlen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +9.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.9%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -1.6%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -11.4%

Away 20.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -9.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 39.4% Odds: 2.30 -9.4%

BTTS 60.6% Odds: 1.48 -10.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 2-0

4th 3-1

5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oskarshamns

2.28

Osterlen

1.01

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + Over 2.5 (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 72%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -32.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=57.9%