Progreso vs Wanderers Prediction & Tips

Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 12 Parque Abraham Paladino· Montevideo Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

Progreso PPG 0.33

2-1 HIT CS5

Wanderers PPG 1.20

Over3.5· -0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Home 39.1%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -2.3%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -16.0%

Away 33.8%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -8.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 44.9% Odds: 2.20 -1.2%

Over 3.5 23.6% Odds: 4.20 -0.9%

BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.85 -7.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Progreso

1.29

Wanderers

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -42.4%

Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs Home POOR (0.33)