Today / Ariana vs Eskilsminne

Ariana vs Eskilsminne Prediction

Sunday, June 7, 2026

Ariana

PPG 1.60 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eskilsminne

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.7%0-22.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.4%1-18.2%1-26.1%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.4%3-16.6%3-24.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.0%4+-24.5%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.4% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1✓ 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ariana2.2

Eskilsminne1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ARIANA · PPG 1.60

ESKILSMINNE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Ariana (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eskilsminne (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ariana face Eskilsminne on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ariana a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Eskilsminne 24%, so Ariana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ariana and 1.5 for Eskilsminne (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ariana are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.50 for Eskilsminne. This match finished 2-1.

Ariana vs Eskilsminne Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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