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Supra du Quebec vs Pacific Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 23:00

Supra du Quebec

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Pacific

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-15.4%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.6%1-110.3%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.7%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.6%3-16.2%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-14.5%4+-21.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 61.7% 1.62 -7.3%

Draw 22.5% 25.0% 4.00 -6.0%

Away win 20.3% 22.5% 4.45 -5.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 61.7% 1.62 -12.8%

Over 3.5 32.2% 39.2% 2.55 -17.9%

BTTS 52.0% 62.5% 1.60 -16.8%

Home O1.5 55.0% 62.5% 1.60 -12.0%

Away O1.5 27.9% 33.3% 3.00 -9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.1%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.0%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%

#2 1–1✓ 10.3%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Supra du Quebec1.9

Pacific0.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SUPRA DU QUEBEC · PPG 1.50

PACIFIC · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Win probability 1X2

Supra du Quebec (H) 57.2%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -7.3%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -6.0%

Pacific (A) 20.3%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV -5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Supra du Quebec face Pacific in Canada - Canadian Premier League on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Supra du Quebec a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Pacific 20%, so Supra du Quebec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Supra du Quebec and 0.8 for Pacific (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Supra du Quebec are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Pacific. This match finished 1-1.

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Canada - Canadian Premier League Predictions