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Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 23:00

Cavalry

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

HFX Wanderers

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-16.4%0-21.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-110.3%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.8%2-18.3%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.9%3-14.4%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% 62.1% 1.61 -8.2%

Draw 24.4% 26.0% 3.85 -3.6%

Away win 18.6% 21.1% 4.75 -7.0%

Over 2.5 44.0% 58.8% 1.70 -25.2%

Over 3.5 23.3% 36.4% 2.75 -21.6%

BTTS 47.4% 59.9% 1.67 -20.8%

Home O1.5 53.2% 60.6% 1.65 -12.2%

Away O1.5 19.3% 29.9% 3.35 -21.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.1%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.4%

H 57% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 2–0✓ 14.8%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 1–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalry1.6

HFX Wanderers0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALRY · PPG 2.33

HFX WANDERERS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=57.0%

Win probability 1X2

Cavalry (H) 57.0%

ODDS 1.61 · IMPLIED 62.1% EV -8.2%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -3.6%

HFX Wanderers (A) 18.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalry face HFX Wanderers in Canada - Canadian Premier League on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalry a 57% chance, the draw 24% and HFX Wanderers 19%, so Cavalry are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cavalry and 0.6 for HFX Wanderers (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalry are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.00 for HFX Wanderers. This match finished 2-0.

Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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