Today / SM San Juan vs Nueva Chicago

SM San Juan vs Nueva Chicago Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

SM San Juan

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nueva Chicago

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.7%0-115.9%0-25.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.3%1-112.6%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.9%2-15.0%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.3%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 35.5% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 33.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 47.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.4%

D 36% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.7%

#2 1–0 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 15.9%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SM San Juan0.8

Nueva Chicago0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SM SAN JUAN · PPG 1.71

NUEVA CHICAGO · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

SM San Juan (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nueva Chicago (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SM San Juan face Nueva Chicago on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SM San Juan a 37% chance, the draw 36% and Nueva Chicago 28%, so SM San Juan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for SM San Juan and 0.7 for Nueva Chicago (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SM San Juan are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.43 for Nueva Chicago.

SM San Juan vs Nueva Chicago Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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