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Campbelltown vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 05:30

Campbelltown

PPG 1.40 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Para Hills

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 78.4% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.2%1-12.0%1-20.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.8%2-14.3%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.0%3-16.4%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-026.0%4+-123.5%4+-210.7%4+-33.2%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.6% 87.7% 1.14 -17.2%

Draw 18.5% 15.2% 6.60 +13.3%

Away win 8.9% 9.5% 10.50 -3.9%

Over 2.5 78.4% 85.5% 1.17 -8.3%

Over 3.5 54.4% 69.4% 1.44 -21.7%

BTTS 60.9% 66.7% 1.50 -8.6%

Home O1.5 77.8% 90.9% 1.10 -14.4%

Away O1.5 27.9% 29.2% 3.42 -2.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 22%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob60.9%

H 73% / xG 4.4-0.9 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 7.7%

#2 3–0✓ 7.0%

#3 4–1 7.0%

#4 5–0 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campbelltown4.4

Para Hills0.9

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPBELLTOWN · PPG 1.40

PARA HILLS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Campbelltown (H) 72.6%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -17.2%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +13.3%

Para Hills (A) 8.9%

ODDS 10.50 · IMPLIED 9.5% EV -3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Campbelltown face Para Hills in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campbelltown a 73% chance, the draw 19% and Para Hills 9%, so Campbelltown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Campbelltown and 0.9 for Para Hills (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campbelltown are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Para Hills. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +14.2%. This match finished 3-0.

Campbelltown vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - South Australia NPL Predictions