Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Manningham Utd vs Western Utd B

Manningham Utd vs Western Utd B Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 05:15

Manningham Utd

PPG 2.25 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Western Utd B

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.3%0-21.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.3%1-16.2%1-24.5%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.3%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.1%3-17.5%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-19.6%4+-27.0%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 60.6% 1.65 -5.5%

Draw 20.9% 25.6% 3.90 -11.1%

Away win 21.9% 26.3% 3.80 -10.1%

Over 2.5 65.4% 76.9% 1.30 -15.0%

Over 3.5 46.8% 58.1% 1.72 -19.5%

BTTS 63.5% 75.2% 1.33 -15.5%

Home O1.5 68.8% 73.0% 1.37 -5.7%

Away O1.5 41.9% 49.5% 2.02 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 57% / xG 2.7-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 1–1 6.2%

#4 2–2 6.1%

#5 2–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manningham Utd2.7

Western Utd B1.5

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MANNINGHAM UTD · PPG 2.25

WESTERN UTD B · PPG 0.43

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=57.3%

Win probability 1X2

Manningham Utd (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -5.5%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -11.1%

Western Utd B (A) 21.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Manningham Utd face Western Utd B in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manningham Utd a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Western Utd B 22%, so Manningham Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Manningham Utd and 1.5 for Western Utd B (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manningham Utd are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.43 for Western Utd B. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +20.1%. This match finished 3-4.

Manningham Utd vs Western Utd B Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Predictions