Today / Copiapo vs S. Wanderers

Copiapo vs S. Wanderers Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Copiapo
PPG 1.86 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
S. Wanderers
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-18.9%0-28.0%0-34.8%0-4+3.3%1 1-05.9%1-110.7%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.6%2-16.4%2-25.8%2-33.5%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.6%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.8%
Draw 23.0%
Away win 49.2%
Over 2.5 60.7%
Over 3.5 38.0%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 46.9%
Away O1.5 44.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.0%

A 49% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 1–2 9.7%
#3 0–2 8.0%
#4 0–1 8.9%
#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Copiapo1.2
S. Wanderers1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.0%

Form & verdict PPG

COPIAPO · PPG 1.86

S. WANDERERS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Copiapo (H) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Wanderers (A) 49.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Copiapo face S. Wanderers on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Copiapo a 28% chance, the draw 23% and S. Wanderers 49%, so S. Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Copiapo and 1.8 for S. Wanderers (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Copiapo are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 2.00 for S. Wanderers. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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