Nosaby vs Karlskrona Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Södra Götaland - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 14:00

Nosaby PPG 1.80

VS PENDING

Karlskrona PPG 2.40

Draw· -4.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nosaby face Karlskrona in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nosaby a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Karlskrona 41%, so Karlskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nosaby and 1.4 for Karlskrona (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nosaby are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.40 for Karlskrona.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.8%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -7.8%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -4.8%

Away 41.1%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -9.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.1% Odds: 1.50 -18.9%

Over 3.5 34.0% Odds: 2.30 -21.8%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.44 -20.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-0

4th 2-1

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nosaby

1.31

Karlskrona

1.45

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -32.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.80)