Today / GBK Kokkola vs Vaajakoski

GBK Kokkola vs Vaajakoski Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

GBK Kokkola

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Vaajakoski

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.2%0-22.3%0-31.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-02.7%1-15.5%1-25.6%1-33.8%1-4+3.1%2 2-03.4%2-16.9%2-27.0%2-34.7%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.8%3-15.7%3-25.8%3-33.9%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-16.3%4+-26.4%4+-34.3%4+-4+3.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 74.2% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 65.7% — — —

Home O1.5 68.8% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.7%

H 49% / xG 2.5-2.0 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.0%

#2 2–1 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 3–2 5.8%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GBK Kokkola2.5

Vaajakoski2.0

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.2% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GBK KOKKOLA · PPG 1.00

VAAJAKOSKI · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

GBK Kokkola (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vaajakoski (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GBK Kokkola face Vaajakoski on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GBK Kokkola a 49% chance, the draw 21% and Vaajakoski 31%, so GBK Kokkola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for GBK Kokkola and 2.0 for Vaajakoski (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GBK Kokkola are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Vaajakoski. This match finished 0-1.

GBK Kokkola vs Vaajakoski Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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