Today / HJS vs EPS

HJS vs EPS Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

HJS

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

EPS

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.0%0-24.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.1%1-112.2%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.3%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.3%3-14.7%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 7.3%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HJS1.5

EPS1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HJS · PPG 1.33

EPS · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

HJS (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

EPS (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HJS face EPS on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HJS a 46% chance, the draw 26% and EPS 28%, so HJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for HJS and 1.1 for EPS (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HJS are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.75 for EPS. This match finished 1-3.

HJS vs EPS Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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