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MYPA vs PPJ Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

MYPA

PPG 0.25 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

PPJ

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+10.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-111.5%0-213.1%0-39.9%0-4+9.6%1 1-03.6%1-18.2%1-29.3%1-37.0%1-4+6.8%2 2-01.3%2-12.9%2-23.3%2-32.5%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% 34.5% 2.90 -36.7%

Draw 20.6% 28.6% 3.50 -16.7%

Away win 66.0% 50.0% 2.00 +32.0%

Over 2.5 60.7% 71.4% 1.40 -15.0%

Over 3.5 37.0% 52.4% 1.91 -29.3%

BTTS 51.9% 73.5% 1.36 -29.4%

Home O1.5 33.7% 50.0% 2.00 -32.6%

Away O1.5 68.3% 61.7% 1.62 +10.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 24.0%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob51.9%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.1%

#2 0–1 11.5%

#3 0–3 9.9%

#4 1–1 8.2%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MYPA0.7

PPJ2.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MYPA · PPG 0.25

PPJ · PPG 1.67

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

MYPA (H) 13.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -36.7%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -16.7%

PPJ (A) 66.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +32.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

MYPA face PPJ in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MYPA a 13% chance, the draw 21% and PPJ 66%, so PPJ are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for MYPA and 2.3 for PPJ (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MYPA are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.67 for PPJ. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +32.0%. This match finished 1-3.

MYPA vs PPJ Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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