Today / Ekenas IF vs Mikkelin

Ekenas IF vs Mikkelin Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Ekenas IF

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mikkelin

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=49.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-18.4%0-23.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.2%1-112.4%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.2%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.8%3-14.5%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 48.7% — — —

Over 3.5 28.0% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.7%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 13.2%

#3 0–0 8.9%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ekenas IF1.5

Mikkelin0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EKENAS IF · PPG 2.40

MIKKELIN · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=49.2%

Win probability 1X2

Ekenas IF (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mikkelin (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ekenas IF face Mikkelin on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ekenas IF a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Mikkelin 23%, so Ekenas IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ekenas IF and 0.9 for Mikkelin (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ekenas IF are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Mikkelin.

Ekenas IF vs Mikkelin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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