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Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 12:00

Rappe

PPG 0.80 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

IFK Trelleborg

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-115.0%0-210.5%0-34.9%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.9%1-112.5%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.7%2-15.2%2-23.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.0%3-11.5%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% 29.0% 3.45 -7.8%

Draw 28.5% 27.4% 3.65 +2.4%

Away win 46.3% 54.1% 1.85 -14.3%

Over 2.5 48.7% 66.7% 1.50 -27.0%

Over 3.5 28.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%

BTTS 50.7% 70.4% 1.42 -28.0%

Home O1.5 33.7% 44.4% 2.25 -24.2%

Away O1.5 32.0% 61.7% 1.62 -48.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -27.8%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob50.7%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1✓ 15.0%

#3 0–0 10.7%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rappe0.8

IFK Trelleborg1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAPPE · PPG 0.80

IFK TRELLEBORG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Rappe (H) 25.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.8%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +2.4%

IFK Trelleborg (A) 46.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rappe face IFK Trelleborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rappe a 25% chance, the draw 28% and IFK Trelleborg 46%, so IFK Trelleborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Rappe and 1.4 for IFK Trelleborg (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rappe are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.00 for IFK Trelleborg. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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