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Gottne vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Gottne

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Skellefteå

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.89 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-19.0%0-29.0%0-36.0%0-4+4.7%1 1-05.0%1-19.9%1-29.9%1-36.6%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.7%2-15.5%2-25.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.0%3-12.0%3-22.0%3-31.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% 33.3% 3.00 -17.5%

Draw 21.6% 29.4% 3.40 -15.9%

Away win 54.8% 51.3% 1.95 +6.9%

Over 2.5 60.2% 65.4% 1.53 -7.9%

Over 3.5 36.9% 43.5% 2.30 -15.1%

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob60.3%

A 55% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 2–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gottne1.1

Skellefteå2.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GOTTNE · PPG 1.75

SKELLEFTEÅ · PPG 2.50

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.89 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Gottne (H) 23.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.5%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.9%

Skellefteå (A) 54.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gottne face Skellefteå in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gottne a 24% chance, the draw 22% and Skellefteå 55%, so Skellefteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gottne and 2.0 for Skellefteå (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gottne are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.50 for Skellefteå. This match finished 2-2.

Gottne vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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