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Kubikenborg vs Gottne Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 17:00

Kubikenborg

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Gottne

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.9%0-21.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.1%1-15.3%1-24.6%1-32.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.2%2-17.4%2-26.4%2-33.7%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.9%3-16.8%3-25.9%3-33.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-19.1%4+-28.0%4+-34.6%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.8% 60.2% 1.66 -10.7%

Draw 20.0% 26.3% 3.80 -14.4%

Away win 26.2% 27.0% 3.70 -1.8%

Over 2.5 72.0% 73.5% 1.36 -2.1%

Over 3.5 52.0% 52.4% 1.91 -0.7%

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 66.0% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.5%

H 54% / xG 2.8-1.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.4%

#2 2–2 6.4%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–2 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kubikenborg2.8

Gottne1.7

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KUBIKENBORG · PPG 2.00

GOTTNE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.02 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kubikenborg (H) 53.8%

ODDS 1.66 · IMPLIED 60.2% EV -10.7%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -14.4%

Gottne (A) 26.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kubikenborg face Gottne in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kubikenborg a 54% chance, the draw 20% and Gottne 26%, so Kubikenborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Kubikenborg and 1.7 for Gottne (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kubikenborg are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Gottne. This match finished 1-0.

Kubikenborg vs Gottne Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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