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Bjorkelangen vs Sandefjord B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 11:00

Bjorkelangen

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Sandefjord B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 100.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.3% — a clear edge.

+31.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-11.4%0-23.6%0-36.0%0-4+31.8%1 1-00.2%1-11.2%1-23.0%1-35.1%1-4+26.7%2 2-00.1%2-10.5%2-21.3%2-32.1%2-4+11.2%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.4%3-30.6%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.3% 21.7% 4.60 -28.8%

Draw 16.6% 23.1% 4.33 -16.9%

Away win 72.2% 67.6% 1.48 +6.9%

Over 2.5 80.2% 82.0% 1.22 -2.2%

Over 3.5 62.1% 57.8% 1.73 +7.4%

BTTS 59.6% 73.5% 1.36 -18.9%

Home O1.5 33.7% 43.1% 2.32 -21.8%

Away O1.5 100.0% 76.3% 1.31 +31.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)5.0 BTTS prob59.6%

A 72% / xG 0.8-5.0 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 7.6%

#2 0–4 7.6%

#3 1–5 6.4%

#4 1–4 6.3%

#5 0–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bjorkelangen0.8

Sandefjord B5.0

COMBINED 5.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.2% · O3.5 PROB 62.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BJORKELANGEN · PPG 0.00

SANDEFJORD B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Bjorkelangen (H) 11.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -28.8%

Draw 16.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -16.9%

Sandefjord B (A) 72.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV +6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bjorkelangen face Sandefjord B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bjorkelangen a 11% chance, the draw 17% and Sandefjord B 72%, so Sandefjord B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Bjorkelangen and 5.0 for Sandefjord B (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bjorkelangen are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Sandefjord B. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +66.0%. This match finished 1-3.

Bjorkelangen vs Sandefjord B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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