Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Ørn Horten vs Gjøvik-Lyn

Ørn Horten vs Gjøvik-Lyn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Ørn Horten

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gjøvik-Lyn

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.04, combined xG 2.24 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-111.8%0-26.5%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.1%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.9%2-17.6%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 36% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ørn Horten1.1

Gjøvik-Lyn1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ØRN HORTEN · PPG 1.86

GJØVIK-LYN · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.04, combined xG 2.24 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ørn Horten (H) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gjøvik-Lyn (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ørn Horten face Gjøvik-Lyn in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ørn Horten a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Gjøvik-Lyn 36%, so Ørn Horten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ørn Horten and 1.1 for Gjøvik-Lyn (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ørn Horten are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.86 for Gjøvik-Lyn.

Ørn Horten vs Gjøvik-Lyn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions