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Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Gjøvik-Lyn

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

UPCOMING

Brumunddal

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 77.7% vs bookmaker-implied 98.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.0%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.4%1-13.4%1-20.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.0%2-15.9%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.7%3-16.8%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.8%4+-114.3%4+-23.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.7% 98.0% 1.02 -20.8%

Draw 14.7% 4.8% 21.00 +125.2%

Away win 7.5% 2.9% 34.00 +93.0%

Over 2.5 71.7% 89.3% 1.12 -19.7%

Over 3.5 49.4% 77.5% 1.29 -36.3%

BTTS 49.2% 33.3% 3.00 +47.6%

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob49.2%

H 78% / xG 3.5-0.5 / O2.5 72% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.7%

#2 4–0 11.0%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 1–1 3.4%

#5 5–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gjøvik-Lyn3.5

Brumunddal0.5

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GJØVIK-LYN · PPG 2.00

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 0.14

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.94 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gjøvik-Lyn (H) 77.7%

ODDS 1.02 · IMPLIED 98.0% EV -20.8%

Draw 14.7%

ODDS 21.00 · IMPLIED 4.8% EV +125.2%

Brumunddal (A) 7.5%

ODDS 34.00 · IMPLIED 2.9% EV +93.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gjøvik-Lyn face Brumunddal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gjøvik-Lyn a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Brumunddal 8%, so Gjøvik-Lyn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Gjøvik-Lyn and 0.5 for Brumunddal (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gjøvik-Lyn are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Brumunddal. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +47.6%.

Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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