Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal

Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 17 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 17:00

Gjøvik-Lyn

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brumunddal

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +3.64 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.5%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.4%1-12.0%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.3%2-14.3%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.2%3-16.0%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-033.9%4+-119.9%4+-25.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.8% 97.1% 1.03 -14.7%

Draw 9.9% 6.7% 15.00 +29.1%

Away win 7.4% 1.6% 61.00 +210.8%

Over 2.5 77.4% 90.9% 1.10 -14.9%

Over 3.5 56.6% 76.3% 1.31 -25.9%

BTTS 52.0% 36.4% 2.75 +43.0%

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 15.0% 9.1% 11.00 +39.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob52.0%

H 83% / xG 4.2-0.6 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 10.8%

#2 3–0 10.2%

#3 5–0✓ 9.1%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 4–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gjøvik-Lyn4.2

Brumunddal0.6

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 56.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GJØVIK-LYN · PPG 2.00

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 0.14

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.64 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gjøvik-Lyn (H) 82.8%

ODDS 1.03 · IMPLIED 97.1% EV -14.7%

Draw 9.9%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +29.1%

Brumunddal (A) 7.4%

ODDS 61.00 · IMPLIED 1.6% EV +210.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gjøvik-Lyn face Brumunddal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gjøvik-Lyn a 83% chance, the draw 10% and Brumunddal 7%, so Gjøvik-Lyn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Gjøvik-Lyn and 0.6 for Brumunddal (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gjøvik-Lyn are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Brumunddal. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +43.0%. This match finished 5-0.

Gjøvik-Lyn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions