Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Lyn II vs Fram

Lyn II vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 16:00

Lyn II

PPG 1.57 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fram

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.4% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.1%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.3%1-16.0%1-23.4%1-31.3%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.5%2-18.6%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.1%3-18.1%3-24.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-111.6%4+-26.6%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.3% 64.5% 1.55 -1.9%

Draw 15.8% 21.1% 4.75 -15.0%

Away win 20.9% 25.6% 3.90 -11.1%

Over 2.5 67.4% 78.1% 1.28 -13.7%

Over 3.5 47.2% 60.2% 1.66 -21.6%

BTTS 61.6% 76.3% 1.31 -19.3%

Home O1.5 75.2% 78.1% 1.28 -3.7%

Away O1.5 34.7% 46.1% 2.17 -24.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.6%

H 63% / xG 2.8-1.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–0 7.1%

#5 1–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn II2.8

Fram1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN II · PPG 1.57

FRAM · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 1.57 vs 0.86 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lyn II (H) 63.3%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -1.9%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -15.0%

Fram (A) 20.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn II face Fram in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn II a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Fram 21%, so Lyn II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Lyn II and 1.1 for Fram (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn II are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.86 for Fram. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 4-3.

Lyn II vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions