Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Lillehammer vs Lyn II

Lillehammer vs Lyn II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 16:00

Lillehammer

PPG 2.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lyn II

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.5%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.4%1-12.2%1-21.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-03.0%2-14.6%2-23.5%2-31.8%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.1%3-16.2%3-24.8%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-012.6%4+-119.5%4+-215.0%4+-37.7%4+-4+4.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% — — —

Draw 15.0% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.4%

H 64% / xG 4.1-1.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.4%

#2 3–1 6.2%

#3 5–1 5.3%

#4 4–2 5.0%

#5 3–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lillehammer4.1

Lyn II1.5

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LILLEHAMMER · PPG 2.71

LYN II · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.58 for Home, form 2.71 vs 1.71 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lillehammer (H) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lyn II (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lillehammer face Lyn II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lillehammer a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Lyn II 21%, so Lillehammer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Lillehammer and 1.5 for Lyn II (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lillehammer are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.71 for Lyn II.

Lillehammer vs Lyn II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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