Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Sandefjord II vs Oppsal

Sandefjord II vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Sandefjord II

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

UPCOMING

Oppsal

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 74% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.0%0-22.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.3%1-18.6%1-25.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.9%3-16.8%3-24.6%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-16.0%4+-24.1%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% 50.0% 2.00 +7.0%

Draw 21.7% 23.1% 4.33 -3.6%

Away win 24.8% 38.2% 2.62 -21.0%

Over 2.5 65.9% 76.9% 1.30 -14.3%

Over 3.5 44.9% 57.5% 1.74 -21.9%

BTTS 63.3% 78.7% 1.27 -19.6%

Home O1.5 63.7% 66.7% 1.50 -4.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 57.5% 1.74 -26.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord II2.2

Oppsal1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD II · PPG 2.00

OPPSAL · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

74%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord II (H) 53.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +7.0%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -3.6%

Oppsal (A) 24.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord II face Oppsal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord II a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Oppsal 25%, so Sandefjord II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sandefjord II and 1.4 for Oppsal (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord II are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Oppsal.

Sandefjord II vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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