Today / Jazz Pori vs VJS

Jazz Pori vs VJS Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Jazz Pori
PPG 0.75 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
VJS
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-18.1%0-28.6%0-36.1%0-4+5.2%1 1-04.4%1-19.3%1-29.8%1-36.9%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.5%2-15.3%2-25.6%2-34.0%2-4+3.4%3 3-01.0%3-12.0%3-22.1%3-31.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.4%
Draw 22.1%
Away win 56.5%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 61.4%
Home O1.5 46.9%
Away O1.5 48.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob61.4%

A 56% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 1–2 9.8%
#3 0–2 8.6%
#4 1–3 6.9%
#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jazz Pori1.1
VJS2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JAZZ PORI · PPG 0.75

VJS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Jazz Pori (H) 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
VJS (A) 56.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jazz Pori face VJS on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jazz Pori a 21% chance, the draw 22% and VJS 56%, so VJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jazz Pori and 2.1 for VJS (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jazz Pori are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for VJS. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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