Today / Beijing IT vs Shanxi Ronghai

Beijing IT vs Shanxi Ronghai Prediction

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Beijing IT

PPG 0.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Shanxi Ronghai

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.7%0-120.0%0-210.7%0-33.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.4%1-112.1%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-03.4%2-13.7%2-22.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.7%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 34.9% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.4% — — —

Over 3.5 18.7% — — —

BTTS 47.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.4% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.4%

A 42% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.7%

#2 0–1 20.0%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–2 10.7%

#5 1–0 11.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beijing IT0.6

Shanxi Ronghai1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BEIJING IT · PPG 0.33

SHANXI RONGHAI · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Beijing IT (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanxi Ronghai (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beijing IT face Shanxi Ronghai on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beijing IT a 23% chance, the draw 35% and Shanxi Ronghai 42%, so Shanxi Ronghai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Beijing IT and 1.1 for Shanxi Ronghai (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beijing IT are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.25 for Shanxi Ronghai. This match finished 1-2.

Beijing IT vs Shanxi Ronghai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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