FK Beograd vs NE MetroStars Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 13 Frank Mitchell Park Saturday, June 6, 2026 07:30

FK Beograd PPG 2.00

VS PENDING

NE MetroStars PPG 2.33

HomeO15· +35.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Beograd face NE MetroStars in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Beograd a 32% chance, the draw 23% and NE MetroStars 45%, so NE MetroStars are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for FK Beograd and 2.1 for NE MetroStars (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Beograd are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.33 for NE MetroStars. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +35.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +16.3%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -7.8%

Away 45.1%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -23.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.50 -1.9%

Over 3.5 43.0% Odds: 2.15 -7.5%

BTTS 63.5% Odds: 1.50 -4.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-2

4th 2-1

5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

FK Beograd

1.58

NE MetroStars

2.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+35.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 22%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.33)