Iceland - 1. DeildRegular Season - 8GeoSalmo vollurinn· ThorlakshofnFriday, June 5, 202619:15
AeggirPPG 1.00
VSPENDING
Leiknir R.PPG 1.25
Home· +13.5%✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home45.4%
Odds: 2.50EV: +13.5%
Draw26.7%
Odds: 3.65EV: -1.5%
Away27.9%
Odds: 2.35EV: -20.7%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.553.1%Odds: 1.53-18.8%
Over 3.531.0%Odds: 2.35-27.2%
BTTS55.4%Odds: 1.44-20.2%
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1
2nd0-0
3rd1-0
4th2-1
5th2-0
Expected Goals (xG)
Aeggir
1.43
Leiknir R.
1.11
Model Suggestion
BTTS-20.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+13.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)