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Iceland - 1. Deild logo Iceland flag Iceland - 1. Deild Regular Season - 8 GeoSalmo vollurinn· Thorlakshofn Friday, June 5, 2026 19:15
Aeggir logo Aeggir PPG 1.00
VS PENDING
Leiknir R. logo Leiknir R. PPG 1.25
Home· +13.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +13.5%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -1.5%
Away 27.9%
Odds: 2.35 EV: -20.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.53 -18.8%
Over 3.5 31.0% Odds: 2.35 -27.2%
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.44 -20.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Aeggir
1.43
Leiknir R.
1.11

Model Suggestion

BTTS -20.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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