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West Torrens vs Croydon Kings Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 10:30

West Torrens

PPG 2.33 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Croydon Kings

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.5%0-22.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.8%1-17.7%1-26.3%1-33.4%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.9%3-16.3%3-25.1%3-32.8%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.9%4+-24.8%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 60.6% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 22%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.6%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.3%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Torrens2.2

Croydon Kings1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST TORRENS · PPG 2.33

CROYDON KINGS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

West Torrens (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Croydon Kings (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

West Torrens face Croydon Kings in Australia - South Australia NPL on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Torrens a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Croydon Kings 29%, so West Torrens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for West Torrens and 1.6 for Croydon Kings (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Torrens are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Croydon Kings. This match finished 1-0.

West Torrens vs Croydon Kings Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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