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Solvesborg vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 11 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 17:30

Solvesborg

PPG 1.20 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Torns

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.8%0-22.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-04.3%1-16.8%1-25.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.3%2-18.4%2-26.6%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.4%3-16.9%3-25.5%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-17.7%4+-26.1%4+-33.2%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% 59.9% 1.67 -12.8%

Draw 21.0% 25.0% 4.00 -9.6%

Away win 26.7% 25.0% 4.00 +4.1%

Over 2.5 65.4% 71.4% 1.40 -8.4%

Over 3.5 44.5% 50.0% 2.00 -11.0%

BTTS 63.6% 70.4% 1.42 -9.7%

Home O1.5 68.8% 69.0% 1.45 -0.2%

Away O1.5 44.6% 43.5% 2.30 +2.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -27.8%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.6%

H 52% / xG 2.5-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 3–1 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Solvesborg2.5

Torns1.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOLVESBORG · PPG 1.20

TORNS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Solvesborg (H) 52.2%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -12.8%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.6%

Torns (A) 26.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Solvesborg face Torns in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Solvesborg a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Torns 27%, so Solvesborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Solvesborg and 1.6 for Torns (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Solvesborg are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Torns. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.1%. This match finished 1-3.

Solvesborg vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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