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Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 29 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla· Zabrze Saturday, April 18, 2026 15:30
Gornik Zabrze logo Gornik Zabrze PPG 2.00
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Korona Kielce logo Korona Kielce PPG 1.14
Home· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gornik Zabrze face Korona Kielce in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gornik Zabrze a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Korona Kielce 18%, so Gornik Zabrze are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gornik Zabrze and 0.9 for Korona Kielce (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gornik Zabrze are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Korona Kielce. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.8%
Odds: 1.84 EV: +10.0%
Draw 22.3%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -20.8%
Away 17.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -26.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.2% Odds: 1.83 -4.5%
Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: 3.10 -7.0%
BTTS 50.3% Odds: 1.73 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gornik Zabrze
1.86
Korona Kielce
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home +10.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.8%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org