Gornik Zabrze PPG 2.00
Korona Kielce PPG 1.14Gornik Zabrze face Korona Kielce in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gornik Zabrze a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Korona Kielce 18%, so Gornik Zabrze are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gornik Zabrze and 0.9 for Korona Kielce (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gornik Zabrze are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Korona Kielce. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.0%. This match finished 1-0.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.8%