Today / MFC Metalurh vs Bukovyna

MFC Metalurh vs Bukovyna Prediction

Monday, June 1, 2026

MFC Metalurh
PPG 0.57 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Bukovyna
PPG 2.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.86) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-110.1%0-214.3%0-313.6%0-4+19.5%1 1-01.7%1-15.0%1-27.1%1-36.7%1-4+9.6%2 2-00.4%2-11.2%2-21.8%2-31.7%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.2%
Draw 21.3%
Away win 69.5%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 40.5%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 8.9%
Away O1.5 77.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 57%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob47.2%

A 70% / xG 0.5-2.8 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.3%
#2 0–3 13.6%
#3 0–4 9.7%
#4 0–1 10.1%
#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MFC Metalurh0.5
Bukovyna2.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MFC METALURH · PPG 0.57

BUKOVYNA · PPG 2.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.86) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

MFC Metalurh (H) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bukovyna (A) 69.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MFC Metalurh face Bukovyna on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MFC Metalurh a 9% chance, the draw 21% and Bukovyna 70%, so Bukovyna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for MFC Metalurh and 2.8 for Bukovyna (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MFC Metalurh are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.86 for Bukovyna.

PredictVantage

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