Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Bulleen vs Port Melbourne

Bulleen vs Port Melbourne Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 10:30

Bulleen

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Port Melbourne

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 74.7% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-12.1%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.2%1-15.6%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.0%2-17.4%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.4%3-16.6%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-017.1%4+-18.5%4+-22.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.0% 76.9% 1.30 -9.0%

Draw 21.0% 20.0% 5.00 +3.0%

Away win 9.0% 15.4% 6.50 -24.9%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%

Over 3.5 39.5% 49.8% 2.01 -20.6%

BTTS 47.2% 59.9% 1.67 -21.2%

Home O1.5 74.7% 76.9% 1.30 -2.9%

Away O1.5 8.9% 26.7% 3.75 -40.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.2%

H 70% / xG 2.7-0.5 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.0%

#2 3–0 13.4%

#3 1–0✓ 11.2%

#4 4–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulleen2.7

Port Melbourne0.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLEEN · PPG 1.43

PORT MELBOURNE · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.43), Away POOR (0.17) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bulleen (H) 70.0%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -9.0%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.0%

Port Melbourne (A) 9.0%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV -24.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulleen face Port Melbourne in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulleen a 70% chance, the draw 21% and Port Melbourne 9%, so Bulleen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Bulleen and 0.5 for Port Melbourne (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulleen are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.17 for Port Melbourne. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Bulleen vs Port Melbourne Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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