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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 15 Monday, June 1, 2026 10:30
M. Victory B logo M. Victory B PPG 2.33
1-2 HIT CS2
Melbourne K. logo Melbourne K. PPG 1.50
Home· -0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.4%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -0.9%
Draw 22.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -11.8%
Away 42.3%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -15.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.3% Odds: 1.40 -8.6%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 1.93 -16.8%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.33 -15.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

M. Victory B
1.53
Melbourne K.
1.90

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=35.4%

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