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OHiggins vs Everton Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 21:30

OHiggins

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Everton

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-114.1%0-27.2%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.3%2-16.5%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 51.5% 1.94 -31.9%

Draw 29.7% 29.9% 3.35 -0.3%

Away win 35.3% 27.4% 3.65 +28.8%

Over 2.5 43.2% 51.3% 1.95 -15.8%

Over 3.5 22.8% 29.0% 3.45 -12.8%

BTTS 47.2% 56.5% 1.77 -16.5%

Home O1.5 24.9% 48.8% 2.05 -29.4%

Away O1.5 27.3% 31.3% 3.20 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 81 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 0.5%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.8%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.1%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OHiggins1.0

Everton1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OHIGGINS · PPG 1.71

EVERTON · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

OHiggins (H) 35.1%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -31.9%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -0.3%

Everton (A) 35.3%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

OHiggins face Everton in Chile - Primera División on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OHiggins a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Everton 35%, so Everton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for OHiggins and 1.0 for Everton (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OHiggins are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.17 for Everton. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.8%. This match finished 2-3.

OHiggins vs Everton Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera División Predictions