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Pors Grenland vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 16:00

Pors Grenland

PPG 0.25 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Mjondalen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-112.2%0-29.9%0-35.3%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.3%1-111.8%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.5%2-15.7%2-24.6%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.1%3-11.8%3-21.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.2% 32.3% 3.10 -18.7%

Draw 26.1% 27.4% 3.65 -2.8%

Away win 51.7% 50.0% 2.00 +3.4%

Over 2.5 54.2% 64.5% 1.55 -16.0%

Over 3.5 32.2% 42.0% 2.38 -23.4%

BTTS 55.3% 67.6% 1.48 -18.2%

Home O1.5 25.2% 45.5% 2.20 -26.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.3%

A 52% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 12.2%

#3 0–2 9.9%

#4 1–2 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pors Grenland1.0

Mjondalen1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.2% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 0.25

MJONDALEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Pors Grenland (H) 22.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -18.7%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -2.8%

Mjondalen (A) 51.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pors Grenland face Mjondalen in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pors Grenland a 22% chance, the draw 26% and Mjondalen 52%, so Mjondalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Pors Grenland and 1.6 for Mjondalen (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pors Grenland are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Mjondalen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Pors Grenland vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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