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Pors Grenland vs Træff Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Pors Grenland

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLDL

UPCOMING

Træff

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-110.8%0-27.4%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.3%2-17.4%2-25.1%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.1%3-12.9%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.0% 42.6% 2.35 -24.8%

Draw 26.1% 28.6% 3.50 -5.2%

Away win 41.9% 40.0% 2.50 +4.8%

Over 2.5 50.6% 58.8% 1.70 -14.0%

Over 3.5 30.4% 38.2% 2.62 -20.3%

BTTS 54.1% 61.7% 1.62 -12.4%

Home O1.5 32.2% 44.4% 2.25 -27.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 50.0% 2.00 -15.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -41.1%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.1%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 10.8%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 0–0 7.8%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pors Grenland1.2

Træff1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 1.00

TRÆFF · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pors Grenland (H) 32.0%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -24.8%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.2%

Træff (A) 41.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pors Grenland face Træff in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pors Grenland a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Træff 42%, so Træff are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pors Grenland and 1.4 for Træff (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pors Grenland are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Træff.

Pors Grenland vs Træff Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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