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Kvik Halden vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:00

Kvik Halden

PPG 1.75 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Lysekloster

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.7% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-17.2%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.7%1-111.6%1-24.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.4%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.0%3-15.1%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 54.1% 1.85 -0.7%

Draw 25.0% 27.8% 3.60 -6.0%

Away win 21.3% 28.6% 3.50 -15.3%

Over 2.5 48.5% 60.6% 1.65 -20.0%

Over 3.5 27.9% 38.5% 2.60 -16.5%

BTTS 51.5% 64.5% 1.55 -20.2%

Home O1.5 48.3% 57.8% 1.73 -16.4%

Away O1.5 21.0% 39.2% 2.55 -27.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.5%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 13.7%

#3 2–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Halden1.6

Lysekloster0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.75

LYSEKLOSTER · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=53.7%

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Halden (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -0.7%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.0%

Lysekloster (A) 21.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Halden face Lysekloster in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Halden a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Lysekloster 21%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kvik Halden and 0.9 for Lysekloster (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Halden are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Lysekloster. This match finished 4-0.

Kvik Halden vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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